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Perhaps it's Time for a Bit of a Come to Jesus Moment

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  • Perhaps it's Time for a Bit of a Come to Jesus Moment

    I originally composed post after Thursday's loss to Colorado, but ran out of time to finish and publish it:

    USC has performed far, far, far better this season than I anticipated or predicted. I was 100% wrong about SC's prospects for the season, which I thought were fairly dim. SC has had a very strong, indeed (by USC's standards) excellent, season.

    But it's probably worth taking a sober look at where SC is at this moment.

    Assuming, no covid interruptions, USC has the following left on the schedule:

    -- 3 competitive regular season games (SC may be a slight favorite in all 3 games);

    -- up to 3 Pac-12 Tournament games; and

    -- the NCAA Tournament.

    It's basically 3 tournaments to close out the season.

    If USC wants to win its first Pac-12 title since the 1980s, it must absolutely win out those 3 games. KenPom puts the odds of that happening at roughly 30%.

    If USC wants an outright Pac-12 title, it's going to need help.

    The bottom line is that the likelihood of a conference title is fairly dim now. Obviously, the season has gone much, much, much better than I expected, but it's looking less and less likely that this will end up as a milestone year for USC basketball.
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