I've grown increasingly frustrated with the lack of transparency out of the bracketing process, so I decided to built out my own seeding list. The formula is pretty simple, it's 2/3 Strength of Record, an ESPN BPI metric which only considers two things: Your win/loss record, and strength of schedule. The last 1/3 is split between KenPom and the Sagarin Ratings. Reasonable minds can differ as to how to weight the computer metrics vs the results based metrics, but this made sense to me.
Update 3/13: The Big 10 seems to get generally over seeded (Should be good news for us moving forward). I would have included Oklahoma State, North Carolina and Rutgers and excluded ASU, Nevada and Pitt. Although ASU has a pretty good case, unlike Pitt and Nevada, who belong nowhere near the tournament. Memphis is the team that is criminally under seeded - should be much closer to the 4 line than the 8 line.
Update 3/13: The Big 10 seems to get generally over seeded (Should be good news for us moving forward). I would have included Oklahoma State, North Carolina and Rutgers and excluded ASU, Nevada and Pitt. Although ASU has a pretty good case, unlike Pitt and Nevada, who belong nowhere near the tournament. Memphis is the team that is criminally under seeded - should be much closer to the 4 line than the 8 line.
Seed | TEAM | SOR RK | Sagarin | KenPom | Weighted Avg 2/3 SOR | |
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.3 | |
1 | Kansas Jayhawks | 2 | 7 | 9 | 4.0 | |
1 | UCLA Bruins | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4.2 | |
1 | Houston Cougars | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4.5 | |
2 | Texas Longhorns | 4 | 5 | 6 | 4.5 | |
2 | Purdue Boilermakers | 3 | 10 | 7 | 4.8 | |
2 | Gonzaga Bulldogs | 9 | 4 | 8 | 8.0 | |
2 | Arizona Wildcats | 8 | 8 | 10 | 8.3 | |
3 | Marquette Golden Eagles | 7 | 12 | 12 | 8.7 | |
3 | UConn Huskies | 11 | 6 | 4 | 9.0 | |
3 | Baylor Bears | 10 | 12 | 15 | 11.2 | |
3 | Xavier Musketeers | 12 | 16 | 16 | 13.3 | |
4 | Duke Blue Devils | 14 | 14 | 21 | 15.2 | |
4 | Kansas State Wildcats | 13 | 25 | 24 | 16.8 | |
4 | San Diego State Aztecs | 15 | 28 | 14 | 17.0 | |
4 | Tennessee Volunteers | 23 | 9 | 5 | 17.7 | |
5 | Memphis Tigers | 18 | 15 | 19 | 17.7 | |
5 | Texas A&M Aggies | 19 | 19 | 25 | 20.0 | |
5 | Virginia Cavaliers | 17 | 29 | 34 | 21.8 | |
5 | Indiana Hoosiers | 21 | 18 | 30 | 22.0 | |
6 | Iowa State Cyclones | 24 | 32 | 23 | 25.2 | |
6 | Saint Mary's Gaels | 31 | 17 | 11 | 25.3 | |
6 | TCU Horned Frogs | 26 | 21 | 27 | 25.3 | |
6 | Creighton Bluejays | 32 | 11 | 13 | 25.3 | |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | 20 | 35 | 40 | 25.8 | |
7 | Kentucky Wildcats | 27 | 20 | 28 | 26.0 | |
7 | Florida Atlantic Owls | 22 | 42 | 26 | 26.0 | |
7 | West Virginia Mountaineers | 30 | 22 | 17 | 26.5 | |
8 | Michigan State Spartans | 25 | 30 | 32 | 27.0 | |
8 | Missouri Tigers | 16 | 52 | 51 | 27.8 | |
8 | Auburn Tigers | 33 | 26 | 29 | 31.2 | |
8 | Utah State Aggies | 34 | 37 | 18 | 31.8 | |
9 | Northwestern Wildcats | 28 | 40 | 42 | 32.3 | |
9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 29 | 41 | 39 | 32.7 | |
9 | Maryland Terrapins | 38 | 24 | 22 | 33.0 | |
9 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 37 | 27 | 33 | 34.7 | |
10 | USC Trojans | 35 | 36 | 36 | 35.3 | |
10 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 43 | 23 | 20 | 35.8 | |
10 | Boise State Broncos | 39 | 56 | 31 | 40.5 | |
10 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 45 | 31 | 37 | 41.3 | |
11 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 44 | 44 | 38 | 43.0 | |
11 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 40 | 53 | 49 | 43.7 | |
11 | NC State Wolfpack | 41 | 46 | 55 | 44.2 | |
11 | Providence Friars | 46 | 38 | 44 | 44.3 | |
AQ | Charleston Cougars | 36 | 70 | 73 | 47.8 | |
11 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 53 | 33 | 47 | 48.7 | |
11 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 56 | 39 | 35 | 49.7 | |
AQ | Oral Roberts Golden Eagles | 42 | 75 | 56 | 49.8 | |
AQ | VCU Rams | 49 | 45 | 58 | 49.8 | |
FFO | Arizona State Sun Devils | 47 | 66 | 68 | 53.7 | |
FFO | Michigan Wolverines | 63 | 34 | 46 | 55.3 | |
FFO | Vanderbilt Commodores | 48 | 62 | 80 | 55.7 | |
FFO | Oklahoma Sooners | 57 | 54 | 53 | 55.8 | |
AQ | Kent State | 50 | 65 | 71 | 56.0 | |
NFO | Oregon Ducks | 62 | 48 | 41 | 56.2 | |
NFO | Wisconsin Badgers | 51 | 57 | 76 | 56.2 | |
NFO | Nevada Wolf Pack | 54 | 84 | 43 | 57.2 | |
NFO | North Texas Mean Green | 59 | 63 | 45 | 57.3 | |
Pittsburgh Panthers | 52 | 59 | 77 | 57.3 | ||
Clemson Tigers | 58 | 51 | 64 | 57.8 |
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