Below is a deep data dive into four of the possible PG transfer candidates: Darrion Trammell, Marks Sears, Tristen Newton, Joel Murray and Ta'Lon Cooper.
Quick Explainer on the data below:
--Pts Allowed / 74 possessions: HoopLens numbers on the amount of points opponents scored, per 74 possessions (average game), while the player was on the court.
-- Opponent Defense: This the KenPom rating off the adjusted number of points per 100 possessions the opponents of the player gave up during the course of the season; so the lower the number, the better.
-- Win Share / Game: This is the Basketball-Reference "Win Share" number (the number of "Wins" the player is supposed to have contributed towards) per Game.
-- Box +/-: This is another Basketball-Reference Stat, meant to estimates a basketball player’s contribution to the team when that player is on the court, with 0.0 being average
My observations are at the bottom.
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The first thing to note is how similar the numbers are for Trammell, Sears, Newton and Murray are: they all have a usage rate between 27-30% (with Sears being the highest); they all shoot between 43.5-50% from 2P range (with Newton being the best); they all shoot between 33-41% from 3 (with Sears being the best); they all score between 20-22 points per 30 minutes; and they all shoot over 80% from the free throw line.
Here are the notable differences:
-- Ta'Lon Cooper is a lower usage, lower scoring player, who otherwise has similar efficiency numbers.
-- Cooper and Murray don't contribute as much toward team performance as Trammell, Sears and Newton, per the box score numbers.
-- Mark Sears is clearly the best scorer, with Tristen Newton just behind him; Murray and Trammell are less efficient from the field.
-- Newton and Trammell are a cut above when it comes to assist rate; though Newton has a bit of a turnover issue.
-- Sears, Newton and Murray all have nice steal numbers, but Trammell is noticeably better; indeed, it's the biggest single separator in any stat. Cooper is not a plus steals guy.
-- Perhaps because Trammell steals the ball more, his Box Plus-Minus is the best.
By the numbers, Trammell, Sears and Newton are the top three here. If you're looking for a jitterbug who will steal and distribute more, that's Trammell. If you're looking for a tougher guy who will score the ball more and more efficiently, that's Sears. If you're looking for a longer player who stuffs the stat sheet and score from inside the arc more efficiently, that's Newton.
Quick Explainer on the data below:
--Pts Allowed / 74 possessions: HoopLens numbers on the amount of points opponents scored, per 74 possessions (average game), while the player was on the court.
-- Opponent Defense: This the KenPom rating off the adjusted number of points per 100 possessions the opponents of the player gave up during the course of the season; so the lower the number, the better.
-- Win Share / Game: This is the Basketball-Reference "Win Share" number (the number of "Wins" the player is supposed to have contributed towards) per Game.
-- Box +/-: This is another Basketball-Reference Stat, meant to estimates a basketball player’s contribution to the team when that player is on the court, with 0.0 being average
My observations are at the bottom.
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NAME | Darrion Trammell | Marks Sears | Tristen Newton | Joel Murray | Ta'Lon Cooper |
School | Seattle U | Ohio | East Carolina | Long Beach State | Morehead State |
Height | 5'10" | 6'0" | 6'5" | 5'11" | 6'4" |
KenPom Offense Rating | 106.0 | 111.9 | 106.4 | 103.3 | 107.8 |
PtsAllowed/74 poss | 66.6 | 70.3 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 68.1 |
Usage Rate | 28.3% | 29.6% | 28.0% | 27.2% | 18.6% |
eFG% | 46.6% | 50.7% | 49.9% | 47.4% | 49.1% |
TS% | 54.3% | 58.1% | 57.5% | 53.8% | 52.0% |
Assist Rate | 31.8% | 24.9% | 34.4% | 20.1% | 32.0% |
Turnover Rate | 17.4% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 16.0% | 21.2% |
FT% | 82.6% | 88.3% | 87.9% | 85.3% | 65.5% |
2P% | 43.8% | 46.1% | 49.8% | 45.9% | 46.2% |
3P% | 34.0% | 41.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | 35.3% |
Opp Def | 105.8 | 106.7 | 101.1 | 102.5 | 103.8 |
Steal Rate | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
Rebounds/100poss | 6.3 | 9.7 | 8.0 | 5.2 | 8.0 |
Points Scored/40min | 20.7 | 22.0 | 20.3 | 20.8 | 10.7 |
Win Share/gm | 0.165 | 0.177 | 0.127 | 0.106 | 0.118 |
Box +/- | 6.0 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 1.3 | 2.2 |
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The first thing to note is how similar the numbers are for Trammell, Sears, Newton and Murray are: they all have a usage rate between 27-30% (with Sears being the highest); they all shoot between 43.5-50% from 2P range (with Newton being the best); they all shoot between 33-41% from 3 (with Sears being the best); they all score between 20-22 points per 30 minutes; and they all shoot over 80% from the free throw line.
Here are the notable differences:
-- Ta'Lon Cooper is a lower usage, lower scoring player, who otherwise has similar efficiency numbers.
-- Cooper and Murray don't contribute as much toward team performance as Trammell, Sears and Newton, per the box score numbers.
-- Mark Sears is clearly the best scorer, with Tristen Newton just behind him; Murray and Trammell are less efficient from the field.
-- Newton and Trammell are a cut above when it comes to assist rate; though Newton has a bit of a turnover issue.
-- Sears, Newton and Murray all have nice steal numbers, but Trammell is noticeably better; indeed, it's the biggest single separator in any stat. Cooper is not a plus steals guy.
-- Perhaps because Trammell steals the ball more, his Box Plus-Minus is the best.
By the numbers, Trammell, Sears and Newton are the top three here. If you're looking for a jitterbug who will steal and distribute more, that's Trammell. If you're looking for a tougher guy who will score the ball more and more efficiently, that's Sears. If you're looking for a longer player who stuffs the stat sheet and score from inside the arc more efficiently, that's Newton.
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